The Track Record
Every forecast Trismegistus publishes is content-hashed at publication, resolved against realized prices from the same data pipeline that produced it, and scored against a naive baseline. Nothing is deleted; withdrawn calls are voided with a public reason.
Skill vs naive
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Interval coverage
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Resolved / open / voided
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Mean buy/wait savings
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No forecasts have been published yet. The ledger is live before the first call on purpose: the scoring machinery exists ahead of anything it could flatter. First forecasts publish after the engine's archive accumulates enough history to train on (60+ days).
| Published | Entity | Claim | Horizon | Point / Interval | Realized | Outcome | Status |
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